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“how To” Start Trading The Forex Market? (part 5)
By Martin Maier
What are *PIPS* ?
Currencies are traded on a price/ point (pip) system. Each pair has its own pip value.
When you see a FOREX price quote, you'll see something listed like this:
EUR/USD 1.2210/13
Explanation:
a) If you want to BUY the EUR/USD ( meaning you BUY EUROS and SELL US$ ) you buy 100,000 EUROS and you SELL 122,130 US$, or in other words you receive
122,130 US$ for 100,000 EUROS.
B) If you want to SELL the EUR/USD ( meaning you SELL EUROS and BUY US$ ) you buy 122,100 US$ and sell 100,000 EUROS, or in other words you receive 100,000 EUROS for 122,100 US$.
The difference between the bid and the ask price is referred to as the spread. In the example above, the spread is 3 or 3 pips.
Since the US dollar is the centerpiece of the FOREX market, it is normally considered the 'base' for quotes. In the "Majors", this includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF and USD/CAD. For these currencies and many others, quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the second quoted in the pair.
For example a quote of USD/CHF 1.3000 means that fore one U.S. dollar you receive 1.30 Swiss Francs. or in other words, you receive 1.30 Swiss Franc for each 1 US$.
When the U.S. dollar is the base unit and a quote goes up, it means the dollar has appreciated in value and the other has weakened. If the USD/CHF quote above increases to 1.3050 the dollar is stronger because it will now buy more Swiss Franc than before.
The three exceptions to this rule are the British pound (GBP), the Australian dollar (AUD) and the Euro (EUR). In these cases, you might see a quote such as EUR/USD 1.2080, meaning that for EURO you receive 1.2080 U.S. Dollars.
In these three pairs, where the U.S. dollar is not the base rate, a rising quote means a weakening dollar, as it now takes more U.S. dollars to equal one Euro, British pound or an Australian dollar.
In other words, if a quote goes higher, that increases the value of the base currency. A lower quote means the base is weakening.
Currency pairs that do not involve the U.S. dollar are called cross currencies, but the calculation is the same. For example, a quote of EUR/JPY 134.50 signifies that one Euro is equal to 134.50 Japanese yen.
HOW TO BUY ( going “ LONG ”)and SELL ( going “ SHORT ”) in the FOREX Market?
Keep in mind 2 very important rules:
RULE # 1) Cut your LOOSING trades and let your WINNING trades RUN
YOU WILL HAVE LOSING TRADES. Every FOREX trader has. The secret is, that a consistent, disciplined trader, at the end of the day, adds up more winning trades than losing trades.
When you and see on your charts, without any doubt, that you are in a losing trade, don't keep losing money. Most of the novice traders are lowering their stop loss just to “prove they are right” or “hoping that the market will reverse”. 99% of these trades, are ending up with more losses. Most of the profitable trades are usually "right" immediately.
Remember, smart traders know there are many other opportunities. CUT your losses short and compound those winning positions.
RULE 2) NEVER EVER trade FOREX without placing a Stop Loss Order.
PLACE a STOP order, right along with your ENTRY order, via your online trading station, to prevent potential losses.
Before initiating any trade, you have to calculate at what point ( price) you would be wrong, because the market changed direction, and would want to cut your losses.
To make profits, in the FOREX, a trader can enter the market with a *buy position* (known as going "long") or a *sell position* (known as going "short").
As an example let's assume you've been
Forex Trading and Commodities ? Gold and Silver Prices Advance while USD was <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=20120202_forex_signals_futures_gold_silver.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex Trading and Commodities ? Gold and Silver Prices Advance while USD was <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) Gold prices jumped again today as traders took advantage of the long-term policy signals from the Federal Reserve (see forex and futures charts below).</div>
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British Pound Sterling: Currency in 10-week high vs USD while falls vs EUR <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/british-pound-high-vs-us-dollar-01021330.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: Currency in 10-week high vs USD while falls vs EUR <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Also boosting the pound sterling is news that UK manufacturing kicked back into life in January. British Pound Sterling (GBP) in US Dollar (USD): GBPUSD is unchanged at 1.5757.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1093-british-pound-gbp-up-against-us-dollar-usd-456456456">British Pound Sterling: Currency faces 'another slug of QE' of 75bn GBP should <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Gold Prices Climb as Silver Slips? USD Higher vs EUR but Lower vs JPY ? Brent <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=20120131_forex_trading_usd_eur_jpy_gold_silver_prices.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Gold Prices Climb as Silver Slips? USD Higher vs EUR but Lower vs JPY ? Brent <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) Gold and silver prices moved in opposite directions Tuesday as traders looked for safe-havens (see forex and futures charts below).</div>
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Gold Prices Advance while Silver Slips ? USD down vs EUR and JPY ? WTI and <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=20120130_forex_signals_gold_silver_jpy_eur_usd.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Gold Prices Advance while Silver Slips ? USD down vs EUR and JPY ? WTI and <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) The dollar fell broadly Monday while optimism in Greece turned to frustration (see forex and futures charts below).</div>
</div>
British Pound Sterling: Currency finds GfK consumer confidence data of no use <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/british-pound-to-euro-31011325.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: Currency finds GfK consumer confidence data of no use <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">This morning the pound euro pair continues to be driven by events in the eurozone as domestic UK data fails to make an impact. British Pound Sterling (GBP) in US Dollar (USD): GBPUSD is 0.37% higher at 1.5770.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1078-quantitative-easing-in-february-3444354334-and-the-pound">British Pound Sterling: Currency fins support vs EUR and USD as Miles says QE <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Gold and Silver Prices Advanced while Crude Oil Falls ? USD Falls vs EUR and <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=201201229_forex_signals_usd_jpy_eur_gold_silver.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Gold and Silver Prices Advanced while Crude Oil Falls ? USD Falls vs EUR and <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 30, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) Gold and silver prices were higher last week while light sweet crude oil and the dollar declined in value (see the futures and forex charts below).</div>
</div>
British Pound Sterling: Currency to fall further against US Dollar says <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/pound-dollar-exchange-rate-forecast-27011314.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: Currency to fall further against US Dollar says <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 27, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Once the euphoria is over we should also see the euro dollar exchange rate retreating once more. British Pound Sterling (GBP) in Euro (EUR): GBPEUR is 0.13% lower at 1.1958.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1072-british-pound-and-quantitative-easing-forecasts-3435435435">British Pound Sterling: Analysts speculate on Quantitative Easing - 25bn, 50bn <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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DFC Global Corp. Announces Record Fiscal Second Quarter Results
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<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dfc-global-corp-announces-record-fiscal-second-quarter-results-2012-01-26" style="font-size:1.2em">DFC Global Corp. Announces Record Fiscal Second Quarter Results</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">MarketWatch (press release)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 26, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">BERWYN, Pa., Jan 26, 2012 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- DFC Global Corp. /quotes/zigman/6411860/quotes/nls/dllr DLLR +2.55% , a leading international diversified financial services company serving primarily unbanked and under-banked consumers for over 30 years, ...</div>
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British Pound Sterling: GBP, USD and possibly EUR, face up to the prospects of <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/deflation-and-exchange-rates-24011298.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: GBP, USD and possibly EUR, face up to the prospects of <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 24, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Foreign exchange analysts and exchange rate forecasters face the problem of understanding the impact deflationary risks will have on currency markets.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1068-british-pound-vs-usd-and-eur-34345454">British Pound Sterling: Currency in sharp drop vs EUR, but registers welcome <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Currency Futures: Forex Speculators bets for US Dollar edge higher. Euro <b>...</b>
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;">
<a href="http://countingpips.com/fx/2012/01/23/currency-futures-forex-speculators-bets-for-us-dollar-edge-higher-euro-pound-sterling-dip/" style="font-size:1.2em">Currency Futures: Forex Speculators bets for US Dollar edge higher. Euro <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">CountingPips (blog)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 23, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">By CountingPips.com The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), showed that large futures speculators continued to increase their Euro and British pound sterling short bets for ...</div>
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studying the EURO. The EURO is paired first with the U.S. dollar or USD.
Your trading methods, rules, strategies, etc., tell you that the EURO will rice in the next 2 weeks, So you buy the EUR/USD pair meaning you will simultaneously buy EUROS, and SELL dollars).
You open up your excellent trading station software (provided to you for free by Fenix Capital Management, LLC www.fenixcapitalmanagement.com ) and you see that the EUR/USD pair is trading at:
EUR/USD: 1.2010/1.2013
As you you believe that the market price for the EUR/USD pair will go higher, you will enter a *buy position* in the market.
As an example, lets say you bought one lot EUR/USD at 1.2013. As long as you sell back the pair at a higher price, then you make money.
To illustrate a typical FX SELL trade, consider this scenario involving the USD/JPY pair:
REMEMBER Selling ("going short") the pair implies selling the first, base currency, and buying the second, quote currency. You sell the pair if you believe the base (USD) will go down relative to the quote (JPY), or equivalently, that the quote (JPY) will go up relative to the base (USD).
HOW TO CALCULATE PROFIT OR LOSS?
The Profit Calculations, on the Short-sell trade scenario below, may seem somewhat complicated if you've never been in the FOREX market before, but this process is continually calculated through your broker trade station (software). I show you this process below so you can SEE how a PROFIT might occur.
The current bid/ask price for USD/JPY is 107.50/107.54, meaning you can buy $1 US for 107.54 YEN, or sell $1 US for 107.50 YEN.
Suppose you think that the US Dollar (USD) is overvalued against the YEN (JPY). To execute this strategy, you would sell Dollars (simultaneously buying YEN), and then wait for the exchange rate to rise.
Your trade would be the following: you sell 1 lot USD (US $100,000) and you buy 1 lot JPY (10,754.000 YEN). (Remember, at 0.25 % margin, your initial margin deposit for this trade would be $ 250.)
As you expected, USD/JPY falls to 106.50/106.54, meaning you can now buy $1 US for $106.54 Japanese YEN or sell $1 US for 106.50.
Since you're short dollars (and are long YEN), you must now buy dollars and sell back the YEN to realize any profit.
You buy US $100,000 at the current USD/JPY rate of 106.54, and receive 10,654,000 YEN. Since you originally bought (paid for) 10,754,000 YEN, your profit is 100,000 YEN.
To calculate your P&L in terms of US dollars, divide 100,000 by the current USD/JPY rate of 106.54
Total profit = US $938.61 Article Source: http://www.ArticleJoe.com Veteran Trader Martin Maier is the Founder of Fenix Capital Management LLC He is the developer of various futures and commodities trading programs and his systems have been ranked and rated by various large American Investment Profile Rating Companies such as STAR and MAR.
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USD/CAD Forecast February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis
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<a href="http://www.fxempire.com/technical/technical-analysis-reports/usdcad-forecast-february-6-2012-technical-analysis/" style="font-size:1.2em">USD/CAD Forecast February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis</a>
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<div style="width:80%;">The USD/CAD pair fell on Friday as the better than expected Non-Farm Payroll numbers had the market comfortable with taking risk. The Canadian dollar rose to the point that we have cleared the parity support area, but are currently sitting just above ...</div>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-exchange-rate-non-farm-03021348.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rates (CAD) are a big winner following strong Non <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Canadian dollar exchange rate: Global markets have been caught by surprise following the release of strong US Non-Farm Payroll data.</div>
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Forex: USD/CAD ? The Loonie weakens after disappointing jobs data
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<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-02/forex-usdcad-the-loonie-weakens-after-disappointing-jobs-data.aspx?storyid=118436" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: USD/CAD ? The Loonie weakens after disappointing jobs data</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">NASDAQ</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The Canadian Dollar weakened across the board, falling to a 2-day low versus the Greenback after a report showed Canadian employment grew by a mere 2300 jobs in January, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose.</div>
<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/291952/20120202/preview-canada-employment-change-will-usd-cad.htm">Preview: Canada Employment Change ? Will USD/CAD Hold Below Parity?</a> - <span style="color:#888888">International Business Times</span><br>
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2012 Forecasts: Canadian Dollar To Be Support By QE3 In 2H12
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;">
<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-reports/2012-forecasts:--canadian-dollar-to-be-support-by-qe3-in-2h12-20120203158825/" style="font-size:1.2em">2012 Forecasts: Canadian Dollar To Be Support By QE3 In 2H12</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Action Forex</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Canada will by no means escape from the recent global economic turmoil. As an economy heavily reliant on exports, the sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone and the stringent fiscal consolidation to be adopted by the US are expected to hurt Canadian ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-03)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/292363/20120203/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-03)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair has been trading within a narrow range above the 200-days SMA; the pair is having difficulties breaching this support area around the average as see on chart, while price is clearly oversold as seen on Stochastic.</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD finds risk environment unconstructive <b>...</b>
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;">
<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-exchange-rate-02021342.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD finds risk environment unconstructive <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 2, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The CAD was not a participant in the overnight push up in risk currencies, with USD/CAD remaining well-entrenched in familiar ranges.</div>
<a href="http://www.forexpros.com/news/forex-news/forex---usd-cad-up-on-jobs-data-229907">Forex - USD/CAD up on jobs data</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Pros</span><br>
<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=158866:mixed-reactions-in-the-us-dollar-to-the-non-farm-payroll&catid=191:daily-forex-technicals">Mixed Reactions in the US Dollar to the Non-Farm Payroll</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Action Forex</span><br>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-02)
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;">
<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/291619/20120202/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-02.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-02)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 2, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pivotal support around 0.9965 is still providing the pair with a good support as seen on the provided four-hour chart. The struggle around the middle line of the descending channel that dominated the movements from 1.0285 zones continues fixing RSI ...</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD is cross currency under-performer <b>...</b>
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;">
<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-vs-australian-dollar-01021335.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD is cross currency under-performer <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pound Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.02% higher at 1.5810, the euro Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.22% higher at 1.3148, the US dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.5% lower with 1 USD = 0.9971 CAD.</div>
<a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/11394595/1/usd-cad-susceptible-to-weakness.html">USD-CAD: Susceptible to Weakness</a> - <span style="color:#888888">TheStreet.com</span><br>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-01)
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;">
<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/290835/20120201/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-01.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-01)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair failed to hold below parity yesterday, where it found support near the 200-days SMA to rebound again attempting to retest the resistance area among 1.0050-1.0075, a bullish divergence is seen on Stochastic.</div>
</div>
Pound to Canadian Dollar Forecast ? The GBP CAD rate has recovered from the 4 <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.torfx.com/blog/the-gbp-cad-rate-has-recovered-from-the-4-month-low-of-1-5545/11482/" style="font-size:1.2em">Pound to Canadian Dollar Forecast ? The GBP CAD rate has recovered from the 4 <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">TorFX Foreign Currency Exchange (blog)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The Canadian Dollar is looking resilient. Even last Friday's weaker than anticipated growth data for Canada's major trading partner, the US, failed to cause the CAD to weaken.</div>
<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-us-dollar-par-30011323.html">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD USD finds solid support at 'par' - risk-off <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Euro Exchange Rate News</span><br>
<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-01/forex-cad-appears-vulnerable-to-a-near-term-set-back-against-usd-bbh.aspx?storyid=117411">Forex: CAD appears vulnerable to a near term set back against USD - BBH</a> - <span style="color:#888888">NASDAQ</span><br>
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