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Indian Real Estate: Boom Or Bubble?
By property vertical
Property prices are rising fast as the tech boom spreads across the country When Farallon Capital Management, a U.S. hedge fund, and its joint-venture partner, Indiabulls, snapped up an 11-acre property in central Mumbai in March 2005 for $54.5 million an acre, the purchase was called an act of idiocy by local developers. A few months later, when the same joint venture offered $95.5 million an acre for a nearby property, its was the second-lowest bid. Property prices in India are rising fast, and not just in the biggest cities. As the tech boom spreads across the country, as more Indians buy homes, and as the economy grows at faster than 8% a year, real estate is attracting more investors, many of them from abroad.
India is one of the last few countries where there is primary demand for real estate rather than individuals trading up,” says Rajiv Sahney, who runs the India operations of New Vernon Advisory, a $1.4 billion New Jersey hedge fund. Merrill Lynch forecasts that the Indian realty sector will grow from $12 billion in 2005 to $90 billion by 2015. “India is the most exciting real estate market in Asia,” says Michael Smith, head of Asian real estate investment banking at Goldman Sachs. “It’s one of the last major countries in Asia with an improving market.” That improvement worries some. Concerns about an asset-price bubble have led the Reserve Bank of India to raise the risk weightage on real estate loans extended by banks, and mortgage rates have gone from 7.5% to about 9.5% as a result. That’s still well below the 15% rates that most Indians were used to, but it’s enough to raise questions about whether the speculation of the past year and a half, which has driven land prices up by 30% to 100% and real estate stocks up as much as 2,000%, may be coming to an end. The run-up in prices has attracted the likes of Morgan Stanley, which has invested $68 million in Mantri Developers, a midsized construction firm in Bangalore, and Merrill Lynch, which invested $50 million in Panchsheel Developers, a regional builder. Foreign companies have also poured money into funds that
REG-MW TOPS GLOBAL ALPHA GBP SHARES: Index Levels and Weightings <IEB52F6F4.I>
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<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUS139288+03-Sep-2010+HUG20100903" style="font-size:1.2em">REG-MW TOPS GLOBAL ALPHA GBP SHARES: Index Levels and Weightings <IEB52F6F4.I></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Reuters</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">5 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">MW TOPS GLOBAL ALPHA INDEX (the "INDEX") INDEX LEVEL AND INDEX WEIGHTINGS The index level and weightings of each of the undermentioned three currency lines of the Index as at the close of business ...</div>
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British Pound Testing Channel Resistance
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/elliott_wave/gbp-usd/2010/09/03/ewaves_oil.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Testing Channel Resistance</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">7 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">No change: ?The British Pound has not found the support that the Euro has enjoyed. Watch the channel for support as well as 15250 and 15125. The pattern of the decline from 16000 is not clear-so ...</div>
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Bullish Pressure Building on CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Tr; FXB
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<a href="http://www.learningmarkets.com/News-Feed/2010090344187/bullish-pressure-building-on-currencyshares-british-pound-sterling-tr-fxb.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Bullish Pressure Building on CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Tr; FXB</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Learning Markets</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">11 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Tr (FXB) [Chart - Analysis - News] lost some ground during trading yesterday, but it appears there is some bullish pressure building up in the background ...</div>
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Great British Pound (GBP) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-03)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/48995/20100903/great-british-pound-gbp-technical-major-currencies-2010-09-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Great British Pound (GBP) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-03)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">14 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair continues to trade within the short-term descending channel, where another subsidiary deprecating channel is forming that is keeping the negative pressures on the pair's trading, which is ...</div>
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Great British Pound vs. Japanese Yen (2010-09-03)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/48972/20100903/great-british-pound-vs-japanese-yen-2010-09-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Great British Pound vs. Japanese Yen (2010-09-03)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">15 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The GBP/JPY pair is still building a base to be able to breach the key resistance of 130.50 and whilst the uptrend line which carries the upside momentum still hold. Consequently, we keep our ...</div>
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UK Economy Cooling; Pound Downside Target Remains 1.5113
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<a href="http://www.forexhound.com/article/Pattern_Price_Time/Analysis/UK_Economy_Cooling_Pound_Downside_Target_Remains_15113/234427" style="font-size:1.2em">UK Economy Cooling; Pound Downside Target Remains 1.5113</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Forex Hound</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">19 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Concerns over a slowdown in UK manufacturing growth and mortgage market worries helped pressure the British Pound. Sterling investors seem to be pre-occupied lately over the new austerity measures ...</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-03201009.html">Exchange rates: Service data pressures the British Pound</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Forex: GBP/USD rises to 1.5425, intra-day high
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<a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=989db3d3-27f6-47f7-a33c-5f8e7d2ec68e" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: GBP/USD rises to 1.5425, intra-day high</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FXstreet.com The Forex Market</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">19 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The British Pound edged up against the Greenback overnight, moving further away from a 1-month low at 1.5325 reached on Aug 31. The upmove hit an intra-day high at 1 ...</div>
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British Pound Forecast to decline Against Japanese Yen
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/ssi/gbp-jpy/2010/09/02/ssi_gbp-jpy.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Forecast to decline Against Japanese Yen</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">GBPJPY ?The ratio of long to short positions in the GBPJPY stands at 2.04 as nearly 67% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.46 as 59% of open positions were long. In detail, long ...</div>
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British Pound Decline May Extend Below 15000
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/elliott_wave/gbp-usd/2010/09/02/British_Pound_Decline_May_Extend_Below_15000.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Decline May Extend Below 15000</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pattern of the decline from 16000 is not clear-so the decline is probably not complete. One possibility is a double zigzag. The 2 legs would be equal at 14980, which is defended by the July ...</div>
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British Pound Under Pressure Amid IMF Debt Concerns, Weak Housing Data
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/top_fx_headlines/2010/09/02/British_Pound_Under_Pressure_Amid_IMF_Debt_Concerns.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Under Pressure Amid IMF Debt Concerns, Weak Housing Data</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">During the overnight trade, the IMF warned that Portugal, Italy, and Greece are amongst the countries with the highest risk of unsustainable debt, while also adding that UK's debt to GDP could ...</div>
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invest in Indian developers. GE Commercial Finance Real Estate, for example, has invested $63 million in an $800 million fund that is building IT parks, and Calpers and the Oregon Public Retirement Fund have invested $100 million each in the IL&FS India Realty fund. Real estate funds set up to invest only in India have already raised more than $2.7 billion. And new funds worth as much as $4 billion are being planned by J.P. Morgan, Britain’s Knight Frank, and other foreign investors. Warburg Pincus, the largest private-equity investor in India, says it is spending nearly a third of its time studying opportunities in this area. And Deutsche Asset Management recently hired someone to head its real estate activities in India. “As the largest active managers of real estate funds in the world,” says Edouard Peter, head of Deutsche Asset Management Asia Pacific and Middle East, “we expect to be actively raising and investing funds in real estate in India.” It isn’t going to be a cakewalk. “It’s not easy to do business in India,” says Seek Ngee Huat, president of GIC Real Estate, an arm of the Singapore government that is planning to invest several hundred million dollars in Indian real estate over the next two years. “It’s difficult finding suitable partners who have the same long-term objectives, as most firms are small and family run.” Already margins have shrunk. “The vast majority of the planned real estate funds are targeting annual rates of return of between 25% and 30%, but I’m skeptical that the vast majority will cross 20%,” says Mumbai real estate advisor Rajiv Bhatia. To achieve the target returns, several funds are focusing on second-tier towns and second-tier developers. “Many investors are going to lose their shirt here, as it’s an opaque market, and a wrong partner can easily do you in,” says S. Sriniwasan, executive director at Kotak Mahindra Realty fund in Mumbai. There’s also bureaucracy and corruption to deal with. Says Ashwin Ramesh, who runs a boutique fund called Primary Real Estate Advisors: “There are a couple of hundred malls currently being developed across India, and predictions are that only 10% will be successful. Yet every developer feels his mall will be among the survivors.
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Canadian Dollar Looks to BoC Rate Decision for Next Moves
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/cad/2010/09/03/TOF_903_cad.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Looks to BoC Rate Decision for Next Moves</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">13 minutes ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The Canadian dollar pushed higher against its US namesake last week, rising some 1.10 percent. Following a disappointing economic activity report for the second quarter, the USDCAD finds support ...</div>
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Forex: Dollar still under pressure against commodity currencies
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<a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=b5591558-af3e-4081-909d-e51147530009" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: Dollar still under pressure against commodity currencies</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FXstreet.com The Forex Market</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">5 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) ? Greenback is falling sharply on Friday against currencies tied to commodities weakened by risk aversion. AUD and NZD are approaching to daily highs together with main US ...</div>
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Saskatchewan Roughriders Centennial Canadian Dollar Coin Launched
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<a href="http://www.coinnews.net/2010/09/03/saskatchewan-roughriders-centennial-canadian-dollar-coin-launched/" style="font-size:1.2em">Saskatchewan Roughriders Centennial Canadian Dollar Coin Launched</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">CoinNews.net</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">6 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">by Royal Canadian Mint on September 3, 2010 Rider pride was in full swing as the Royal Canadian Mint launched a new commemorative one-dollar circulation coin honouring the Saskatchewan Roughriders ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar Tests Short Term Channel
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/elliott_wave/usd-cad/2010/09/03/eliottWaves_usd-jpy_1.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Tests Short Term Channel</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">7 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">USDCAD channel support comes into play at current price although I do expect the level to give way next week as the rally from 10105 is left in 3 waves. The USDCAD continues to respect its summer ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar Spikes Up Sharply Against Major Rivals After US Unemployment Report
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<a href="http://www.rttnews.com/Content/CanadianNews.aspx?Node=B1&Id=1409797" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Spikes Up Sharply Against Major Rivals After US Unemployment Report</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">RTT News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">8 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(RTTNews) - The Canadian dollar spiked up sharply against major currencies after the release of US unemployment and non-farm payroll reports in early New York trading on Friday. As of now, the ...</div>
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Russia May Soon Add Canadian Dollar to Reserves
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<a href="http://www.smartmoney.com/bn/ON/index.cfm?story=ON-20100903-000389" style="font-size:1.2em">Russia May Soon Add Canadian Dollar to Reserves</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Smartmoney.com</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">14 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">MOSCOW -(Dow Jones)- Russia will be ready to add the Canadian dollar to its reserves in several weeks, First Deputy Central Bank Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev said in an interview with the ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-03)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/48998/20100903/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2010-09-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-03)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">14 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair attempted to breach the support levels mentioned in yesterday's report, while currently the pair is rising towards 1.0490 levels, but facingSMA 50 levels as strong resistance that ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar Slides Against Majors
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<a href="http://www.rttnews.com/Content/CanadianNews.aspx?Id=1409038&SM=1" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Slides Against Majors</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">RTT News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(RTTNews) - The Canadian dollar traded lower against major opponents from early morning session's upward trading in New York afternoon deals on Thursday. After edging up to 1.0474 against the US ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar May Appreciate Against USD
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/ssi/usd-cad/2010/09/02/ssi_usd-cad.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar May Appreciate Against USD</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">USDCAD ? The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCAD stands at 1.17 as nearly 54% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.28 as 56% of open positions were long. In detail, long ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar Short Term Channels are Points of Reference
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/elliott_wave/usd-cad/2010/09/02/Canadian_Dollar_Short_Term_Channels_are_Points_of_Reference.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Short Term Channels are Points of Reference</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The USDCAD continues to respect its summer range. The June, July, and August highs all occurred within several pips of 10680. There is little to comment on other than the range. Use the channels ...</div>
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