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Indian Real Estate: Boom Or Bubble?
By property vertical
Property prices are rising fast as the tech boom spreads across the country When Farallon Capital Management, a U.S. hedge fund, and its joint-venture partner, Indiabulls, snapped up an 11-acre property in central Mumbai in March 2005 for $54.5 million an acre, the purchase was called an act of idiocy by local developers. A few months later, when the same joint venture offered $95.5 million an acre for a nearby property, its was the second-lowest bid. Property prices in India are rising fast, and not just in the biggest cities. As the tech boom spreads across the country, as more Indians buy homes, and as the economy grows at faster than 8% a year, real estate is attracting more investors, many of them from abroad.
India is one of the last few countries where there is primary demand for real estate rather than individuals trading up,” says Rajiv Sahney, who runs the India operations of New Vernon Advisory, a $1.4 billion New Jersey hedge fund. Merrill Lynch forecasts that the Indian realty sector will grow from $12 billion in 2005 to $90 billion by 2015. “India is the most exciting real estate market in Asia,” says Michael Smith, head of Asian real estate investment banking at Goldman Sachs. “It’s one of the last major countries in Asia with an improving market.” That improvement worries some. Concerns about an asset-price bubble have led the Reserve Bank of India to raise the risk weightage on real estate loans extended by banks, and mortgage rates have gone from 7.5% to about 9.5% as a result. That’s still well below the 15% rates that most Indians were used to, but it’s enough to raise questions about whether the speculation of the past year and a half, which has driven land prices up by 30% to 100% and real estate stocks up as much as 2,000%, may be coming to an end. The run-up in prices has attracted the likes of Morgan Stanley, which has invested $68 million in Mantri Developers, a midsized construction firm in Bangalore, and Merrill Lynch, which invested $50 million in Panchsheel Developers, a regional builder. Foreign companies have also poured money into funds that
Forex Trading and Commodities ? Gold and Silver Prices Advance while USD was <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=20120202_forex_signals_futures_gold_silver.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex Trading and Commodities ? Gold and Silver Prices Advance while USD was <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) Gold prices jumped again today as traders took advantage of the long-term policy signals from the Federal Reserve (see forex and futures charts below).</div>
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British Pound Sterling: Currency in 10-week high vs USD while falls vs EUR <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/british-pound-high-vs-us-dollar-01021330.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: Currency in 10-week high vs USD while falls vs EUR <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Also boosting the pound sterling is news that UK manufacturing kicked back into life in January. British Pound Sterling (GBP) in US Dollar (USD): GBPUSD is unchanged at 1.5757.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1093-british-pound-gbp-up-against-us-dollar-usd-456456456">British Pound Sterling: Currency faces 'another slug of QE' of 75bn GBP should <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Gold Prices Climb as Silver Slips? USD Higher vs EUR but Lower vs JPY ? Brent <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=20120131_forex_trading_usd_eur_jpy_gold_silver_prices.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Gold Prices Climb as Silver Slips? USD Higher vs EUR but Lower vs JPY ? Brent <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) Gold and silver prices moved in opposite directions Tuesday as traders looked for safe-havens (see forex and futures charts below).</div>
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Gold Prices Advance while Silver Slips ? USD down vs EUR and JPY ? WTI and <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=20120130_forex_signals_gold_silver_jpy_eur_usd.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Gold Prices Advance while Silver Slips ? USD down vs EUR and JPY ? WTI and <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) The dollar fell broadly Monday while optimism in Greece turned to frustration (see forex and futures charts below).</div>
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British Pound Sterling: Currency finds GfK consumer confidence data of no use <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/british-pound-to-euro-31011325.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: Currency finds GfK consumer confidence data of no use <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">This morning the pound euro pair continues to be driven by events in the eurozone as domestic UK data fails to make an impact. British Pound Sterling (GBP) in US Dollar (USD): GBPUSD is 0.37% higher at 1.5770.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1078-quantitative-easing-in-february-3444354334-and-the-pound">British Pound Sterling: Currency fins support vs EUR and USD as Miles says QE <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Gold and Silver Prices Advanced while Crude Oil Falls ? USD Falls vs EUR and <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.bestsyndication.com/?q=201201229_forex_signals_usd_jpy_eur_gold_silver.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Gold and Silver Prices Advanced while Crude Oil Falls ? USD Falls vs EUR and <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Best Syndication</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 30, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">(Best Syndication News) Gold and silver prices were higher last week while light sweet crude oil and the dollar declined in value (see the futures and forex charts below).</div>
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British Pound Sterling: Currency to fall further against US Dollar says <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/pound-dollar-exchange-rate-forecast-27011314.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: Currency to fall further against US Dollar says <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 27, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Once the euphoria is over we should also see the euro dollar exchange rate retreating once more. British Pound Sterling (GBP) in Euro (EUR): GBPEUR is 0.13% lower at 1.1958.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1072-british-pound-and-quantitative-easing-forecasts-3435435435">British Pound Sterling: Analysts speculate on Quantitative Easing - 25bn, 50bn <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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DFC Global Corp. Announces Record Fiscal Second Quarter Results
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<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dfc-global-corp-announces-record-fiscal-second-quarter-results-2012-01-26" style="font-size:1.2em">DFC Global Corp. Announces Record Fiscal Second Quarter Results</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">MarketWatch (press release)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 26, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">BERWYN, Pa., Jan 26, 2012 (BUSINESS WIRE) -- DFC Global Corp. /quotes/zigman/6411860/quotes/nls/dllr DLLR +2.55% , a leading international diversified financial services company serving primarily unbanked and under-banked consumers for over 30 years, ...</div>
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British Pound Sterling: GBP, USD and possibly EUR, face up to the prospects of <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/deflation-and-exchange-rates-24011298.html" style="font-size:1.2em">British Pound Sterling: GBP, USD and possibly EUR, face up to the prospects of <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 24, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Foreign exchange analysts and exchange rate forecasters face the problem of understanding the impact deflationary risks will have on currency markets.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1068-british-pound-vs-usd-and-eur-34345454">British Pound Sterling: Currency in sharp drop vs EUR, but registers welcome <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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Currency Futures: Forex Speculators bets for US Dollar edge higher. Euro <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://countingpips.com/fx/2012/01/23/currency-futures-forex-speculators-bets-for-us-dollar-edge-higher-euro-pound-sterling-dip/" style="font-size:1.2em">Currency Futures: Forex Speculators bets for US Dollar edge higher. Euro <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">CountingPips (blog)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 23, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">By CountingPips.com The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), showed that large futures speculators continued to increase their Euro and British pound sterling short bets for ...</div>
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invest in Indian developers. GE Commercial Finance Real Estate, for example, has invested $63 million in an $800 million fund that is building IT parks, and Calpers and the Oregon Public Retirement Fund have invested $100 million each in the IL&FS India Realty fund. Real estate funds set up to invest only in India have already raised more than $2.7 billion. And new funds worth as much as $4 billion are being planned by J.P. Morgan, Britain’s Knight Frank, and other foreign investors. Warburg Pincus, the largest private-equity investor in India, says it is spending nearly a third of its time studying opportunities in this area. And Deutsche Asset Management recently hired someone to head its real estate activities in India. “As the largest active managers of real estate funds in the world,” says Edouard Peter, head of Deutsche Asset Management Asia Pacific and Middle East, “we expect to be actively raising and investing funds in real estate in India.” It isn’t going to be a cakewalk. “It’s not easy to do business in India,” says Seek Ngee Huat, president of GIC Real Estate, an arm of the Singapore government that is planning to invest several hundred million dollars in Indian real estate over the next two years. “It’s difficult finding suitable partners who have the same long-term objectives, as most firms are small and family run.” Already margins have shrunk. “The vast majority of the planned real estate funds are targeting annual rates of return of between 25% and 30%, but I’m skeptical that the vast majority will cross 20%,” says Mumbai real estate advisor Rajiv Bhatia. To achieve the target returns, several funds are focusing on second-tier towns and second-tier developers. “Many investors are going to lose their shirt here, as it’s an opaque market, and a wrong partner can easily do you in,” says S. Sriniwasan, executive director at Kotak Mahindra Realty fund in Mumbai. There’s also bureaucracy and corruption to deal with. Says Ashwin Ramesh, who runs a boutique fund called Primary Real Estate Advisors: “There are a couple of hundred malls currently being developed across India, and predictions are that only 10% will be successful. Yet every developer feels his mall will be among the survivors.
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USD/CAD Forecast February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis
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<a href="http://www.fxempire.com/technical/technical-analysis-reports/usdcad-forecast-february-6-2012-technical-analysis/" style="font-size:1.2em">USD/CAD Forecast February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FX Empire</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">13 minutes ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The USD/CAD pair fell on Friday as the better than expected Non-Farm Payroll numbers had the market comfortable with taking risk. The Canadian dollar rose to the point that we have cleared the parity support area, but are currently sitting just above ...</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rates (CAD) are a big winner following strong Non <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-exchange-rate-non-farm-03021348.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rates (CAD) are a big winner following strong Non <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Canadian dollar exchange rate: Global markets have been caught by surprise following the release of strong US Non-Farm Payroll data.</div>
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Forex: USD/CAD ? The Loonie weakens after disappointing jobs data
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<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-02/forex-usdcad-the-loonie-weakens-after-disappointing-jobs-data.aspx?storyid=118436" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: USD/CAD ? The Loonie weakens after disappointing jobs data</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">NASDAQ</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The Canadian Dollar weakened across the board, falling to a 2-day low versus the Greenback after a report showed Canadian employment grew by a mere 2300 jobs in January, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose.</div>
<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/291952/20120202/preview-canada-employment-change-will-usd-cad.htm">Preview: Canada Employment Change ? Will USD/CAD Hold Below Parity?</a> - <span style="color:#888888">International Business Times</span><br>
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2012 Forecasts: Canadian Dollar To Be Support By QE3 In 2H12
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<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-reports/2012-forecasts:--canadian-dollar-to-be-support-by-qe3-in-2h12-20120203158825/" style="font-size:1.2em">2012 Forecasts: Canadian Dollar To Be Support By QE3 In 2H12</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Action Forex</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Canada will by no means escape from the recent global economic turmoil. As an economy heavily reliant on exports, the sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone and the stringent fiscal consolidation to be adopted by the US are expected to hurt Canadian ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-03)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/292363/20120203/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-03)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair has been trading within a narrow range above the 200-days SMA; the pair is having difficulties breaching this support area around the average as see on chart, while price is clearly oversold as seen on Stochastic.</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD finds risk environment unconstructive <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-exchange-rate-02021342.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD finds risk environment unconstructive <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 2, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The CAD was not a participant in the overnight push up in risk currencies, with USD/CAD remaining well-entrenched in familiar ranges.</div>
<a href="http://www.forexpros.com/news/forex-news/forex---usd-cad-up-on-jobs-data-229907">Forex - USD/CAD up on jobs data</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Pros</span><br>
<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=158866:mixed-reactions-in-the-us-dollar-to-the-non-farm-payroll&catid=191:daily-forex-technicals">Mixed Reactions in the US Dollar to the Non-Farm Payroll</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Action Forex</span><br>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-02)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/291619/20120202/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-02.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-02)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 2, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pivotal support around 0.9965 is still providing the pair with a good support as seen on the provided four-hour chart. The struggle around the middle line of the descending channel that dominated the movements from 1.0285 zones continues fixing RSI ...</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD is cross currency under-performer <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-vs-australian-dollar-01021335.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD is cross currency under-performer <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pound Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.02% higher at 1.5810, the euro Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.22% higher at 1.3148, the US dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.5% lower with 1 USD = 0.9971 CAD.</div>
<a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/11394595/1/usd-cad-susceptible-to-weakness.html">USD-CAD: Susceptible to Weakness</a> - <span style="color:#888888">TheStreet.com</span><br>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-01)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/290835/20120201/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-01.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-01)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair failed to hold below parity yesterday, where it found support near the 200-days SMA to rebound again attempting to retest the resistance area among 1.0050-1.0075, a bullish divergence is seen on Stochastic.</div>
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Pound to Canadian Dollar Forecast ? The GBP CAD rate has recovered from the 4 <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.torfx.com/blog/the-gbp-cad-rate-has-recovered-from-the-4-month-low-of-1-5545/11482/" style="font-size:1.2em">Pound to Canadian Dollar Forecast ? The GBP CAD rate has recovered from the 4 <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">TorFX Foreign Currency Exchange (blog)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The Canadian Dollar is looking resilient. Even last Friday's weaker than anticipated growth data for Canada's major trading partner, the US, failed to cause the CAD to weaken.</div>
<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-us-dollar-par-30011323.html">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD USD finds solid support at 'par' - risk-off <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Euro Exchange Rate News</span><br>
<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-01/forex-cad-appears-vulnerable-to-a-near-term-set-back-against-usd-bbh.aspx?storyid=117411">Forex: CAD appears vulnerable to a near term set back against USD - BBH</a> - <span style="color:#888888">NASDAQ</span><br>
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Is the simultaneous purchase or sale of one currency against the purchase or sale of another.
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