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Introduction To Fundamental Analysis By John Sanderson, Thu Dec 8th
FOREX traders almost always rely on analysis to make plan theirtrading strategies. There are two basic types of FOREX analysis– technical and fundamental. This article will look atfundamental analysis and how it used in FOREX trading. Fundamental analysis refers to political and economic conditionsthat may affect prices. FOREX traders using fundamentalanalysis rely on news reports to gather information aboutunemployment rates, economic policies, inflation, and growthrates. Fundamental analysis is often used to get an overview ofcurrency movements and to provide a broad picture of economicconditions affecting a specific currency. Most traders rely ontechnical analysis for plotting entry and exit points into themarket and supplement their findings with fundamental analysis.
Currency prices on the FOREX are affected by the forces ofsupply and demand, which in turn are affected by economicconditions. The two most important economic factors affectingsupply and demand are interest rates and the strength of theeconomy. The strength of the economy is affected by the GrossDomestic Product (GDP), foreign investment and trade balance. Indicators Various indicators are released by government and academicsources. They are reliable measures of economic health and arefollowed by all sectors of the investment market. Indicators areusually released on a monthly basis but some are released weekly. Two of the most important fundamental indicators are interestrates and international trade. Other indicators include theConsumer Price Index (CPI), Durable Goods Orders, Producer PriceIndex (PPI), Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI), and retail sales. Interest Rates - can have either a strengthening or weakeningeffect on a particular currency. On the one
USD/CAD Forecast February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis
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<a href="http://www.fxempire.com/technical/technical-analysis-reports/usdcad-forecast-february-6-2012-technical-analysis/" style="font-size:1.2em">USD/CAD Forecast February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FX Empire</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">33 minutes ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The USD/CAD pair fell on Friday as the better than expected Non-Farm Payroll numbers had the market comfortable with taking risk. The Canadian dollar rose to the point that we have cleared the parity support area, but are currently sitting just above ...</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rates (CAD) are a big winner following strong Non <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-exchange-rate-non-farm-03021348.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rates (CAD) are a big winner following strong Non <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Canadian dollar exchange rate: Global markets have been caught by surprise following the release of strong US Non-Farm Payroll data.</div>
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Forex: USD/CAD ? The Loonie weakens after disappointing jobs data
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<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-02/forex-usdcad-the-loonie-weakens-after-disappointing-jobs-data.aspx?storyid=118436" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: USD/CAD ? The Loonie weakens after disappointing jobs data</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">NASDAQ</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The Canadian Dollar weakened across the board, falling to a 2-day low versus the Greenback after a report showed Canadian employment grew by a mere 2300 jobs in January, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose.</div>
<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/291952/20120202/preview-canada-employment-change-will-usd-cad.htm">Preview: Canada Employment Change ? Will USD/CAD Hold Below Parity?</a> - <span style="color:#888888">International Business Times</span><br>
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2012 Forecasts: Canadian Dollar To Be Support By QE3 In 2H12
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<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/special-reports/2012-forecasts:--canadian-dollar-to-be-support-by-qe3-in-2h12-20120203158825/" style="font-size:1.2em">2012 Forecasts: Canadian Dollar To Be Support By QE3 In 2H12</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Action Forex</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">Canada will by no means escape from the recent global economic turmoil. As an economy heavily reliant on exports, the sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone and the stringent fiscal consolidation to be adopted by the US are expected to hurt Canadian ...</div>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-03)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/292363/20120203/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-03)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair has been trading within a narrow range above the 200-days SMA; the pair is having difficulties breaching this support area around the average as see on chart, while price is clearly oversold as seen on Stochastic.</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD finds risk environment unconstructive <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-exchange-rate-02021342.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD finds risk environment unconstructive <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 2, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The CAD was not a participant in the overnight push up in risk currencies, with USD/CAD remaining well-entrenched in familiar ranges.</div>
<a href="http://www.forexpros.com/news/forex-news/forex---usd-cad-up-on-jobs-data-229907">Forex - USD/CAD up on jobs data</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Pros</span><br>
<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=158866:mixed-reactions-in-the-us-dollar-to-the-non-farm-payroll&catid=191:daily-forex-technicals">Mixed Reactions in the US Dollar to the Non-Farm Payroll</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Action Forex</span><br>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-02)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/291619/20120202/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-02.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-02)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 2, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pivotal support around 0.9965 is still providing the pair with a good support as seen on the provided four-hour chart. The struggle around the middle line of the descending channel that dominated the movements from 1.0285 zones continues fixing RSI ...</div>
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Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD is cross currency under-performer <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-vs-australian-dollar-01021335.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD is cross currency under-performer <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Euro Exchange Rate News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pound Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.02% higher at 1.5810, the euro Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.22% higher at 1.3148, the US dollar to Canadian dollar exchange rate is 0.5% lower with 1 USD = 0.9971 CAD.</div>
<a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/11394595/1/usd-cad-susceptible-to-weakness.html">USD-CAD: Susceptible to Weakness</a> - <span style="color:#888888">TheStreet.com</span><br>
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Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-01)
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/290835/20120201/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2012-02-01.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2012-02-01)</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 1, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The pair failed to hold below parity yesterday, where it found support near the 200-days SMA to rebound again attempting to retest the resistance area among 1.0050-1.0075, a bullish divergence is seen on Stochastic.</div>
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Pound to Canadian Dollar Forecast ? The GBP CAD rate has recovered from the 4 <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.torfx.com/blog/the-gbp-cad-rate-has-recovered-from-the-4-month-low-of-1-5545/11482/" style="font-size:1.2em">Pound to Canadian Dollar Forecast ? The GBP CAD rate has recovered from the 4 <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">TorFX Foreign Currency Exchange (blog)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Jan 31, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The Canadian Dollar is looking resilient. Even last Friday's weaker than anticipated growth data for Canada's major trading partner, the US, failed to cause the CAD to weaken.</div>
<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/canadian-dollar-us-dollar-par-30011323.html">Canadian dollar exchange rate: CAD USD finds solid support at 'par' - risk-off <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Euro Exchange Rate News</span><br>
<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-01/forex-cad-appears-vulnerable-to-a-near-term-set-back-against-usd-bbh.aspx?storyid=117411">Forex: CAD appears vulnerable to a near term set back against USD - BBH</a> - <span style="color:#888888">NASDAQ</span><br>
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hand, high interestrates attract foreign investment which will strengthen the localcurrency. On the other hand, stock market investors often reactto interest rate increases by selling off their holdings in thebelief that higher borrowing costs will adversely affect manycompanies. Stock investors may sell off their holdings causing adownturn in the stock market and the national economy. Determining which of these two effects will predominate dependson many complex factors, but there is usually a consensusamongst economic observers of how particular interest ratechanges will affect the economy and the price of a currency. International Trade – Trade balance which shows a deficit (moreimports than exports) is usually an unfavourable indicator.Deficit trade balances means that money is flowing out of thecountry to purchase foreign-made goods and this may have adevaluing effect on the currency. Usually, however, marketexpectations dictate whether a deficit trade balance isunfavourable or not. If a county habitually operates with adeficit trade balance this has already been factored into theprice of its currency. Trade deficits will only affect currencyprices when they are more than market expectations. Other indicators include the CPI – a measurement of the cost ofliving, and the PPI – a measurement of the cost of producinggoods. The GDP measures the value of all goods and serviceswithin a country, while the M2 Money Supply measures the totalamount of all currency. There are 28 major indicators used in the United States.Indicators have strong effects on financial markets so FOREXtraders should be aware of them when preparing strategies.Up-to-date information is available on many websites and manyFOREX brokers supply this information as part of their tradingservice. About the author:This article provided courtesy of http://www.about-forex.net
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EUR/GBP Forecast for the Week of February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis
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<a href="http://www.fxempire.com/technical/technical-analysis-reports/eurgbp-forecast-for-the-week-of-february-6-2012-technical-analysis/" style="font-size:1.2em">EUR/GBP Forecast for the Week of February 6, 2012, Technical Analysis</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FX Empire</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">40 minutes ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The EUR/GBP pair continued its consolidation just below the 0.84 level this past week, and the action still looks bearish. The 0.8280 level on the daily chart seems to be somewhat supportive, but the candle still shows bearishness anyway.</div>
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The experts' view on the euro's future: it doesn't have one
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<a href="http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2012/02/04/the-experts-view-on-the-euros-future-it-doesnt-have-one/" style="font-size:1.2em">The experts' view on the euro's future: it doesn't have one</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">ForexLive (blog)</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">19 hours ago </span>
<div style="width:80%;">By Gerry Davies || February 4, 2012 at 12:21 GMT I'm not buying into the EUR demise at all. Certain factors are being overlooked imho.</div>
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Euro Fails to Crack $1.32 ? Greek Tragedy Enters Final Act
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<a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/forecast/weekly/eur/2012/02/04/Euro_Fails_to_Crack_132_Greek_Tragedy_Enters_Final_Act.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Euro Fails to Crack $1.32 ? Greek Tragedy Enters Final Act</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">DailyFX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 4, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">By Christopher Vecchio, Currency Analyst This could be it. We've been saying that for months, as Euro-zone leaders play a dangerous game of chicken with Greek politicians and market participants, having brought us to the edge of imminent collapse ...</div>
<a href="http://www.forexpros.com/analysis/daily-report:-eur-usd,-gbp-usd,-usd-jpy-and-usd-chf-113017">Daily Report: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CHF</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Pros</span><br>
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Forex: EUR/USD erases intraday losses
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<a href="http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-02/forex-eurusd-erases-intraday-losses.aspx?storyid=118570" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: EUR/USD erases intraday losses</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">NASDAQ</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The Euro extended its recovery against the Dollar, erasing its intraday losses during the American afternoon, after Bloomberg reported the ECB is considering ways of using its bond holdings in Greece's next rescue program.</div>
<a href="http://www.actionforex.com/analysis/daily-forex-fundamentals/markets-await-payrolls-20120203158848/">Markets Await Payrolls</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Action Forex</span><br>
<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/292630/20120203/currencies-mixed-after-the-big-nfp.htm">Currencies Mixed After The Big NFP</a> - <span style="color:#888888">International Business Times</span><br>
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FX EUR/USD: Volatility's king, payrolls helps stocks but not Euro
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<a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=a7d9b8c6-4ccd-403d-a8cd-1da2784b3a5f" style="font-size:1.2em">FX EUR/USD: Volatility's king, payrolls helps stocks but not Euro</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FXstreet.com</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The stellar NFP print has got markets yearning for risk assets again, US equities are up 1.15/1.30%, normally good for a "risk on" rally in EUR/USD and we had some of that but more pronounced was post- payrolls volatility.</div>
<a href="http://www.fundweb.co.uk/the-future-of-the-euro/1045432.article">The future of the euro</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Fundweb</span><br>
<a href="http://www.forexpros.com/news/forex-news/forex---eur-usd-swings-on-u.s.-jobs-data-229921">Forex - EUR/USD swings on U.S. jobs data</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Pros</span><br>
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Currencies Hold Ground Ahead of Jobs Jamboree
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<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/currencies-hold-ground-ahead-of-jobs-jamboree-2012-2" style="font-size:1.2em">Currencies Hold Ground Ahead of Jobs Jamboree</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Business Insider</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">This morning, the currencies look pretty much like they did yesterday when I left the office? There's still the Sword of Damocles hanging over the euro (EUR), in the form of Greek negotiations to obtain help from private lenders.</div>
<a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/technical/market-view/market-session-recaps/2012/02/02/02/">NY Session: Markets consolidate ahead of NFP</a> - <span style="color:#888888">FXstreet.com</span><br>
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U.S. Dollar Reversal Underway, Euro Eyes 23.6% Fib
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<a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/11399873/1/us-dollar-reversal-underway-euro-eyes-236-fib.html" style="font-size:1.2em">U.S. Dollar Reversal Underway, Euro Eyes 23.6% Fib</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">TheStreet.com</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">By DailyFX 02/03/12 - 09:25 AM EST By David Song, Currency Analyst The greenback extended the advance from the previous day, with the Dow Jones-FXCM US Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR ) advancing to a high of 9751, and the short-term reversal should ...</div>
<a href="http://www.forexnews.com/2012/02/u-s-dollar-reversal-underway-euro-eyes-23-6-fib/">US Dollar Reversal Underway, Euro Eyes 23.6% Fib</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Market</span><br>
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Services PMI, Retail Sales Report May Boost Euro
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<a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/analysis-reports/daily-trading-analysis-/2012-02-03.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Services PMI, Retail Sales Report May Boost Euro</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">FXstreet.com</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">by Marcio Pereira - Tradervox.com | View company's profile They say February has so far been the month of love for the euro, but yesterday we saw no ounce of love for the euro.</div>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/pound-to-euro/1087-euro-exchange-rate-43543666">Euro exchange rate today: EUR rides higher as investors grow confident <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
<a href="http://www.nasdaq.com/article/euro-weakens-against-majors-eurozone-ppi-eyed-20120202-00131">Euro Weakens Against Majors; Eurozone PPI Eyed</a> - <span style="color:#888888">NASDAQ</span><br>
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Dollars to Euros Exchange Rate ? GBP USD Hits A Level Ahead Of This <b>...</b>
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<a href="http://www.currencynews.co.uk/forecast/20120203-1367_pounds-to-dollars-exchange-rate-today-gbp-eur-aud-usd-chf.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Dollars to Euros Exchange Rate ? GBP USD Hits A Level Ahead Of This <b>...</b></a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">Currency News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">The Pound Euro exchange rate (GBP EUR) is 1.2033. The Pound Dollar exchange rate (GBP USD) is 1.5826. The Pound Australian Dollar exchange rate (GBP AUD) is 1.4778.</div>
<a href="http://www.euro-exchangerate.com/safe-haven-demand-drives-british-pound-02021343.html">British pound up vs EUR as safe-haven demand kicks in, close to 10 week high <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Euro Exchange Rate News</span><br>
<a href="http://www.economy-news.co.uk/british-pound-sterling/1093-british-pound-gbp-up-against-us-dollar-usd-456456456">British Pound Sterling: Currency faces 'another slug of QE' of 75bn GBP should <b>...</b></a> - <span style="color:#888888">Economy News</span><br>
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EUR/USD Caught In 200 Pip Range This Week_
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<a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/292310/20120203/eur-usd-caught-200-pip-range-week_.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">EUR/USD Caught In 200 Pip Range This Week_</a>
<br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Feb 3, 2012 </span>
<div style="width:80%;">On Thursday Euro/Dollar decreased with 110 pips. The European currency depreciated from 1.3197 to 1.3084 yesterday, not matching the positive Interbank sentiment projection at almost +18%, closing the day at 1.3143.</div>
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Short for "Foreign Exchange". Refers generally to the Foreign Exchange trading industry and/or to the currencies themselves.
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