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Introduction To Fundamental Analysis
By John Sanderson, Thu Dec 8th

FOREX traders almost always rely on analysis to make plan theirtrading strategies. There are two basic types of FOREX analysis– technical and fundamental. This article will look atfundamental analysis and how it used in FOREX trading.

Fundamental analysis refers to political and economic conditionsthat may affect prices. FOREX traders using fundamentalanalysis rely on news reports to gather information aboutunemployment rates, economic policies, inflation, and growthrates.

Fundamental analysis is often used to get an overview ofcurrency movements and to provide a broad picture of economicconditions affecting a specific currency. Most traders rely ontechnical analysis for plotting entry and exit points into themarket and supplement their findings with fundamental analysis.


Currency prices on the FOREX are affected by the forces ofsupply and demand, which in turn are affected by economicconditions. The two most important economic factors affectingsupply and demand are interest rates and the strength of theeconomy. The strength of the economy is affected by the GrossDomestic Product (GDP), foreign investment and trade balance.

Indicators

Various indicators are released by government and academicsources. They are reliable measures of economic health and arefollowed by all sectors of the investment market. Indicators areusually released on a monthly basis but some are released weekly.

Two of the most important fundamental indicators are interestrates and international trade. Other indicators include theConsumer Price Index (CPI), Durable Goods Orders, Producer PriceIndex (PPI), Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI), and retail sales.

Interest Rates - can have either a strengthening or weakeningeffect on a particular currency. On the one

Forex: Dollar still under pressure against commodity currencies
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?StoryId=b5591558-af3e-4081-909d-e51147530009" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: Dollar still under pressure against commodity currencies</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">FXstreet.com The Forex Market</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">4 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) ? Greenback is falling sharply on Friday against currencies tied to commodities weakened by risk aversion. AUD and NZD are approaching to daily highs together with main US ...</div> </div>
Saskatchewan Roughriders Centennial Canadian Dollar Coin Launched
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.coinnews.net/2010/09/03/saskatchewan-roughriders-centennial-canadian-dollar-coin-launched/" style="font-size:1.2em">Saskatchewan Roughriders Centennial Canadian Dollar Coin Launched</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">CoinNews.net</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">5 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">by Royal Canadian Mint on September 3, 2010 Rider pride was in full swing as the Royal Canadian Mint launched a new commemorative one-dollar circulation coin honouring the Saskatchewan Roughriders ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar Tests Short Term Channel
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/elliott_wave/usd-cad/2010/09/03/eliottWaves_usd-jpy_1.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Tests Short Term Channel</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">6 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">The USDCAD continues to respect its summer range. The June, July, and August highs all occurred within several pips of 10680. Channel support comes into play at current price although I do expect ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar Spikes Up Sharply Against Major Rivals After US Unemployment Report
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.rttnews.com/Content/CanadianNews.aspx?Node=B1&Id=1409797" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Spikes Up Sharply Against Major Rivals After US Unemployment Report</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">RTT News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">7 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">(RTTNews) - The Canadian dollar spiked up sharply against major currencies after the release of US unemployment and non-farm payroll reports in early New York trading on Friday. As of now, the ...</div> </div>
Russia May Soon Add Canadian Dollar to Reserves
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.smartmoney.com/bn/ON/index.cfm?story=ON-20100903-000389" style="font-size:1.2em">Russia May Soon Add Canadian Dollar to Reserves</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Smartmoney.com</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">12 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">MOSCOW -(Dow Jones)- Russia will be ready to add the Canadian dollar to its reserves in several weeks, First Deputy Central Bank Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev said in an interview with the ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-03)
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/48998/20100903/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2010-09-03.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-03)</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">13 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">The pair attempted to breach the support levels mentioned in yesterday&#39;s report, while currently the pair is rising towards 1.0490 levels, but facingSMA 50 levels as strong resistance that ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar Slides Against Majors
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.rttnews.com/Content/CanadianNews.aspx?Id=1409038&SM=1" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Slides Against Majors</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">RTT News</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">(RTTNews) - The Canadian dollar traded lower against major opponents from early morning session&#39;s upward trading in New York afternoon deals on Thursday. After edging up to 1.0474 against the US ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar May Appreciate Against USD
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/ssi/usd-cad/2010/09/02/ssi_usd-cad.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar May Appreciate Against USD</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">USDCAD ? The ratio of long to short positions in the USDCAD stands at 1.17 as nearly 54% of traders are long. Yesterday, the ratio was at 1.28 as 56% of open positions were long. In detail, long ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar Short Term Channels are Points of Reference
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technical/elliott_wave/usd-cad/2010/09/02/Canadian_Dollar_Short_Term_Channels_are_Points_of_Reference.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar Short Term Channels are Points of Reference</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Daily FX</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">The USDCAD continues to respect its summer range. The June, July, and August highs all occurred within several pips of 10680. There is little to comment on other than the range. Use the channels ...</div> </div>
Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-02)
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/48530/20100902/canadian-dollar-cad-technical-major-currencies-2010-09-02.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">Canadian Dollar (CAD) Technical Major Currencies (2010-09-02)</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">The pair expected its decline yesterday where further correction is projected. Supporting this suggestion is stability below SMA 50 levels along with the negative signs onStochastic forming on the ...</div> </div>

hand, high interestrates attract foreign investment which will strengthen the localcurrency. On the other hand, stock market investors often reactto interest rate increases by selling off their holdings in thebelief that higher borrowing costs will adversely affect manycompanies. Stock investors may sell off their holdings causing adownturn in the stock market and the national economy.

Determining which of these two effects will predominate dependson many complex factors, but there is usually a consensusamongst economic observers of how particular interest ratechanges will affect the economy and the price of a currency.

International Trade – Trade balance which shows a deficit (moreimports than exports) is usually an unfavourable indicator.Deficit trade balances means that money is flowing out of thecountry to purchase foreign-made goods and this may have adevaluing effect on the currency. Usually, however, marketexpectations dictate whether a deficit trade balance isunfavourable or not. If a county habitually operates with adeficit trade balance this has already been factored into theprice of its currency. Trade deficits will only affect currencyprices when they are more than market expectations.

Other indicators include the CPI – a measurement of the cost ofliving, and the PPI – a measurement of the cost of producinggoods. The GDP measures the value of all goods and serviceswithin a country, while the M2 Money Supply measures the totalamount of all currency.

There are 28 major indicators used in the United States.Indicators have strong effects on financial markets so FOREXtraders should be aware of them when preparing strategies.Up-to-date information is available on many websites and manyFOREX brokers supply this information as part of their tradingservice.

About the author:This article provided courtesy of http://www.about-forex.net

 

We strive to provide only quality articles, so if there is a specific topic related to currency that you would like us to cover, please contact us at any time.

And again, thank you to those contributing daily to our forex analysis website.

Forex: EUR/USD gains for the second week in a row
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=92f5d248-c6ce-4cc2-b331-af15d6274fba" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex: EUR/USD gains for the second week in a row</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">FXstreet.com The Forex Market</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">5 minutes ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">FXstreet.com (Córdoba) ? Favored by risk appetite the Euro rose against the Dollar for the second week in a row and extended its recovery from 1.2585 (August lows). The pair finished on Friday ...</div> </div>
Ldn FX: Strong EMU Sales Data Add To Positive Tone On Euro
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://imarketnews.com/?q=node/18715" style="font-size:1.2em">Ldn FX: Strong EMU Sales Data Add To Positive Tone On Euro</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">IMarketnews.com</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">9 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">LONDON, Sep 3 (MNI) - Upside revision in eurozone retail sales data for June added to an underlying positive tone toward the euro, with the single European currency able to extend its recovery off ...</div> </div>
Franc Drops Versus Euro, Dollar as Stock Rally, US Jobs Cut Safety Bids
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-03/swiss-franc-declines-against-the-euro-and-dollar-as-european-stocks-rise.html" style="font-size:1.2em">Franc Drops Versus Euro, Dollar as Stock Rally, US Jobs Cut Safety Bids</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Bloomberg</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">10 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">By Stephen Morris - Fri Sep 03 15:53:59 GMT 2010 Sept. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Nouriel Roubini, chairman and co-founder of Roubini Global Economics LLC, talks about the outlook for the global economy and ...</div> </div>
Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding AG: Santhera Reports 2010 Interim Financial Results with Significant Reduction in Net Loss and Strong Increase in Product Sales
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUS40511+03-Sep-2010+HUG20100903" style="font-size:1.2em">Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding AG: Santhera Reports 2010 Interim Financial Results with Significant Reduction in Net Loss and Strong Increase in Product Sales</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Reuters</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">14 hours ago </span> <div style="width:80%;">Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding AG / Santhera Reports 2010 Interim Financial Results with Significant Reduction in Net Loss and Strong Increase in Product Sales processed and transmitted by Hugin ...</div> </div>
Euro, Risk-Linked Currencies Show No Signs of Letup
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.forexhound.com/article/Pattern_Price_Time/Analysis/Euro_RiskLinked_Currencies_Show_No_Signs_of_Letup/234102" style="font-size:1.2em">Euro, Risk-Linked Currencies Show No Signs of Letup</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Forex Hound</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 2, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">The strong rallies in the Euro and the three major risk-linked currencies finished sharply higher and near their highs while showing no signs of a letup into the close. Whether it was short ...</div> <a href="http://www.insidefutures.com/article/171159/U.S.%20Economic%20Data%20Fuels%20Surge%20in%20Euro,%20Commodity-Linked%20Currencies.html">US Economic Data Fuels Surge in Euro, Commodity-Linked Currencies</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Inside Futures</span><br> </div>
WORLD FOREX: Euro Falls On View ECB Favoring Loose Policy
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/story/world-forex-euro-falls-on-view-ecb-favoring-loose-policy-2010-09-02" style="font-size:1.2em">WORLD FOREX: Euro Falls On View ECB Favoring Loose Policy</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">MarketWatch</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 1, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">By Takashi Mochizuki TOKYO (MarketWatch) -- The euro fell against the yen in Asia on Thursday on the view that European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet may take a less hawkish line on ...</div> <a href="http://moneycentral.msn.com/inc/news/providerredir.asp?feed=AP&date=20100902&id=11986354">Euro largely holds gains, buys $1.2788</a> - <span style="color:#888888">MSN Money</span><br> <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0223124620100902">FOREX-Euro rises vs dollar, US jobs report awaited</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Reuters</span><br> <a href="http://www.startribune.com/business/101999723.html?elr=KArks:DCiU1OiP:DiiUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU" style="color:#009900">Minneapolis Star Tribune</a> - <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/g/a/2010/09/02/bloomberg1376-L85DFX07SXKX01-2EB6AGIL6IHUV3AOGPR3TFKEH7.DTL" style="color:#009900">San Francisco Chronicle</a> - <a href="http://www.forexyard.com/en/market-analysis/eur/euro_set_to_extend_gains_today-2010-09-02" style="color:#009900">Forexyard</a> </div>
Euro slightly higher at $1.2715
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://moneycentral.msn.com/inc/news/providerredir.asp?feed=AP&date=20100901&id=11981663" style="font-size:1.2em">Euro slightly higher at $1.2715</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">MSN Money</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 1, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">BERLIN (AP) - The euro is a little higher against the dollar after a cautious Federal Reserve report and a survey showing only a modest uptick in US consumer confidence underlined fears about a ...</div> <a href="http://www.todayonline.com/BreakingNews/EDC100901-0000171/Euro-slightly-higher-at-US$1,2715-after-lackluster-US-economic-signals">Euro slightly higher at US$1.2715 after lackluster US economic signals</a> - <span style="color:#888888">TODAYonline</span><br> </div>
Euro has Roller-Coaster Day
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.forexhound.com/article/Pattern_Price_Time/Analysis/Euro_has_RollerCoaster_Day/233692" style="font-size:1.2em">Euro has Roller-Coaster Day</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Forex Hound</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Sep 1, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">Thin trading conditions and economic reports led to a ?roller-coaster? type trading session in the Euro on Tuesday. The European single currency rallied on a better than expected German jobs ...</div> <a href="http://www.insidefutures.com/article/170833/Euro%20Falls%20after%20U.S.%20Consumer%20Confidence%20Surprise.html">Euro Falls after US Consumer Confidence Surprise</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Inside Futures</span><br> </div>
Forex-Metal, Forex-Metal
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.forexhound.com/article/Technicals/Weekly_Reports/Weekly_review_for_23_27_08_2010/233475" style="font-size:1.2em">Forex-Metal, Forex-Metal</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">Forex Hound</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Aug 31, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">The beginning of the previous trading week was marked with the weakening of the high-yielding currencies. Risk sentiment was low as the market participants were concerned about the negative signs ...</div> </div>
India Forex Advisors / Market Commentary / 01_Sept_2010
<div style="padding:0px; margin-bottom:1.5em;"> <a href="http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/48122/20100901/mumbai.htm" style="font-size:1.2em">India Forex Advisors / Market Commentary / 01_Sept_2010</a> <br> <span style="color:#888888;">International Business Times</span> - <span style="white-space:nowrap">Aug 31, 2010 </span> <div style="width:80%;">The very weak Asian stocks yesterday helped the USD to hit intraday highs against most pairs except the other safe havens in the JPY and CHF. US sentiment improved though and stocks were able to ...</div> <a href="http://www.forexhound.com/article/Technicals/Daily_Reports/Market_Commentary_by_India_Forex/233775">Market Commentary by India Forex</a> - <span style="color:#888888">Forex Hound</span><br> </div>

Commonly used term for foreign exchange.

 
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